The market diary
The diary on every market day, the lesson of the week every Sunday: all of them here, in full, newest first. As they went out on the channel, with date and time.
- Lesson of the week · 10 min read
The lesson of the week · Sunday 18 Oct 2026
The theme. US data hotter than expected, technology down, oil above 100 because of Hormuz; and the Fed taking the urgency off the October hike.
The method. 2 long orders with a limit entry, dollar/yen at 157.680 and Nasdaq at 28,800, valid until 23 Oct 2026.
Confidence LOW for both (2 out of 6: a score from fixed rules, not a probability). It is not a forecast: it is the risk premium.